To celebrate the 50th anniversary of the PTC, PMD in collaboration with SEGMITE, Society of Economic Geologists and Mineral Technologists, and PSF, Pakistan Science Foundation, organized a seminar titled “Tropical Cyclone and Tsunami Threats to Pakistan's Coast and our Preparedness” on 13 Dec 2023 at Pearl Continental hotel, Karachi. Dr. Sarfaraz, Chief Met, Karachi presented the welcome address and briefed the audience on purpose and importance of the seminar. DG PDMA, Sindh, Syed Salman Shah, chief guest appreciating the seminar organizers effort said that holding of such activity to sensitize stakeholders is very timely. He briefed about his department’s preparation from disaster management to disaster risk management and disaster risk reduction approach. DG-PMD in his speech briefed the audience about PTC’s background, its activities and collaboration amongst the member countries and contribution in TC forecasting & early warning. He emphasized that in pursuit of the WMO’s EarlyWarning4All initiative, PMD, NDMA/PDMAs and all stakeholders should work hard to expand the existing early warning system (EWS) to the last-mile recipient so that the potential hydromet-induced damages are minimized. Prof. Dr. Viqar Hussain, the SEGMITE convener in his address highlighted the various activities SEGMITE is carrying out at national level across Pakistan to promote scientific and research culture. Mr. Kanwar Waseem, the provincial secretary, Pakistan Red Crescent Society, Sindh, in his address emphasized that a hydromet advisory/early warning would become a success story when it is timely disseminated to the last-mile recipient of the vulnerable community and put into action to avoid or minimize the losses. The presenters from PMD, Academia and Civil Society delivered the presentations on Tropical Cyclone, Tsunami, sea-level rise, sea water intrusion, marine pollution and other potential coastal hazards for Pakistan coast. The learned speakers highlighted that climate change-induced increase in TC intensity and Tsunami vulnerability owing to Makran Subduction Zone warrant an immediate, foolproof and robust preparedness & response system to minimize the potential damages. Representatives from Pakistan Fisher Folk Forum (PFFF), Pakistan Navy, Balochistan Coastal Development Authority, Pakistan Red Crescent Society and other stakeholders actively participated in panel discussion forum and group exercise and presented their recommendations to make a robust preparedness & response mechanism for minimizing the potential damages. At the end, Mr. Zubair Ahmed Siddiqui, Director-PMD presented the vote of thanks.
Spokesperson
Met Office informed that a shallow westerly wave is affecting western parts of the country and likely to grip upper parts on 08th November, 2023 (evening/night) and persist in northern areas till 10th afternoon. Under the influence of this weather system:
Spokesperson
The Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (VSCS) over West-central Arabian Sea crossed the Yemen coast south of Al Ghaydah late night/early morning, weakened into a Cyclonic Storm (CS) and now located over eastern Yemen near Lat. 16.2 °N & 51.5 °E. The system is likely to track further west-northwestward and weaken gradually into a Depression later today.
This is the last alert in this regard.
Spokesperson
An Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm (ESCS) “TEJ” over Southwest Arabian Sea tracked further northwestward during last 12 hours, weakened into a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (VSCS) and now located around Latitude 15.5 °N & Longitude 52.1 °E at a distance of about 70km south of Al Ghaydah (Yemen), 270km southwest of Salalah (Oman) and 1500km southwest of Gwadar (Pakistan). Maximum sustained surface winds are 130-140 Km/h gusting 160 Km/h, sea conditions being high/very high & maximum wave height is 30 feet around the system canter. The VSCS “Tej” is likely to keep moving in northwest direction and cross Yemen coast near Al Ghaydah during next few hours with packing winds of 120-130 Km/h gusting 140 Km/h.
Spokesperson
The Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (VSCS) “TEJ” over Southwest Arabian Sea moved further northwestward during last 12 hours, intensified further into an Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm (ESCS) and now lies cantered around Latitude 13.6 °N & Longitude 54.0 °E at a distance of about 380km south of Salalah (Oman), 290km southeast of Al Ghaydah (Yemen) 1550km southwest of Gwadar. Maximum sustained surface winds are 170-190 Km/h gusting 200 Km/h, sea conditions being phenomenal & maximum wave height is 45 feet around the system center. Due to persistent favorable environmental conditions (warm SSTs, low vertical wind shear and strong upper-level outflow), the system would maintain its current intensity by tomorrow afternoon, keep tracking in northwest direction and cross Yemen coast near Al Ghaydah by 23 Oct midnight as an Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm (ESCS) with packing winds of 130-150 km/h. No impact on any of Pakistan coastal area from this system.
Spokesperson
The Severe Cyclonic Storm (SCS) “TEJ” over Southwest Arabian Sea moved further northwestward during last 12 hours, intensified rapidly into a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (VSCS) and now lies cent red around Latitude 12.5 °N & Longitude 55.2 °E at a distance of about 530km south-southeast of Salalah (Oman), 1600km southwest of Gwadar and 1850km southwest of Karachi. Maximum sustained surface winds are 150-160 Km/h gusting 170 Km/h, sea conditions being phenomenal & maximum wave height is 35 feet around the system center. Due to persistent favorable environmental conditions (warm SSTs, low vertical wind shear and strong upper-level outflow), the system would intensify further into an Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm (ESCS) during coming hours and keep moving in northwest direction towards Yemen-Oman coast.
No impact on any of Pakistan coastal area from this system.
Spokesperson
The Cyclonic Storm (TEJ) over Southwest Arabian Sea moved further west-northwestward, intensified into a Severe Cyclonic Storm (SCS) and now lies cent red around Latitude 11.0 °N & Longitude 57.0 °E at a distance of about 1880km southwest of Karachi, 1670km south/southwest of Gwadar & 750km south-southeast of Salalah (Oman). Maximum sustained surface winds are 100-110 Km/h gusting 120 Km/h, sea conditions very high/phenomenal & maximum wave height is 25 feet around the system center. Due to highly favorable environmental conditions (warm SSTs, low vertical wind shear and upper-level outflow), the system is likely to strengthen further into a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (VSCS) by tomorrow and keep moving in west-northwest direction towards Yemen-Oman coast.
No impact on any of Pakistan coastal area from this system.
Spokesperson
The Deep Depression over Southwest Arabian Sea moved further northwestward, intensified into a Cyclonic Storm (TEJ) and now lies cent red around Latitude 10.0 °N & Longitude 59.3 °E at a distance of about 1850km southwest of Karachi, 1720km south/southwest of Gwadar & 960km southeast of Salalah (Oman). Due to highly favorable environmental conditions (warm SSTs, low vertical wind shear and upper-level outflow), the system is likely to strengthen further into a Severe Cyclonic Storm (SCS) by evening today and keep moving in northwest direction towards Oman-Yemen coast. None of the Pakistan coastal area is likely to be impacted by this system.
Spokesperson
The well-marked low-pressure area over Southwest Arabian Sea concentrated into a Depression and lies almost over similar area around Latitude 9.4 °N & Longitude 61.5 °E at a distance of about 1810km southwest of Karachi & 1750km south of Gwadar. Due to favorable environmental conditions, the system is likely to intensify further into a Tropical Cyclone during next 24 hours and keep moving in west/northwest direction towards Oman-Yemen coast. None of the Pakistan coastal area is likely to be impacted by the system.
Spokesperson
The PMD’s Cyclone Warning Centre, Karachi informed that a well-marked low-pressure area (strong weather system) lies over Southwest Arabian Sea at around Latitude 9.5 °N & Longitude 61.5 °E at a distance of about 1810km southwest of Karachi & 1750km south of Gwadar. Due to favorable environmental conditions, the system is likely to intensify further into a Depression and move in west/northwest direction towards Oman-Yemen coast. None of the Pakistan coastal area is likely to be impacted by the system
Spokesperson