The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD), as the sole national authority for weather and climate monitoring, issues this clarification in response to unverified reports and social media content suggesting that Pakistan will experience the “Extremely cold winter.” These claims are scientifically unfounded and not supported by PMD’s seasonal outlook or current global climate indicators.
PMD’s Seasonal Winter Forecast (December – February), based on regional and global climate prediction models validated and verified through WMO-supported systems, indicates near-normal to slightly below-normal rainfall and temperatures will be slightly above normal over most parts of the country. While localized cold spells are likely due to passing western disturbances, no evidence supports an exceptionally severe or record-breaking cold season across Pakistan.
Current oceanic and atmospheric analyses indicate the presence of a weak to moderate La Niña phase over the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Historically, La Niña conditions tend to suppress the intensity and frequency of winter weather systems over South and Southwest Asia, including Pakistan. Consequently, such conditions usually result in fewer and weaker western disturbances reaching the country, reduced rainfall and snowfall activity over the northern and western highlands, and milder temperature anomalies across the plains of Punjab and Sindh. Therefore, the ongoing La Niña event is expected to moderate the overall intensity of the upcoming winter season, contrary to the unfounded claims of an exceptionally cold or record-breaking winter in Pakistan.
PMD advises the public and media to rely only on official forecasts and bulletins available through its website and verified communication channels. Circulating false information about weather and climate can cause unnecessary alarm and public confusion.
PMD remains committed to providing scientifically accurate, evidence-based, and timely forecasts in line with World Meteorological Organization (WMO) standards for the safety and socio-economic well-being of the nation.
Spokesperson
According to the Met. office: A well-marked low-pressure system (WML) is presently located over the Gulf of Kutch, resulting in moist currents penetrating into the Sindh region. Moist currents from the Bay of Bengal are also likely to penetrate into upper Punjab from tonight, while moist currents from both the Bay of Bengal and the north Arabian Sea are expected to strengthen between 04th and 06th October. In addition, A fresh Western Disturbance (WD) is anticipated to approach the upper parts of the country tonight. It is likely to intensify from 03rd October and may persist until 07th October. Under the influence of these meteorological conditions:
Rain-windstorm/thunderstorm is expected at isolated places in Islamabad, Rawalpindi, Murree, Galliyat, Attock, Chakwal, Jhelum, Mandi Bahauddin, Gujrat, Gujranwala, Mianwali and Khushab from tonight to 03rd October. Widespread rain-windstorm/thunderstorm with scattered heavyfalls is expected in Islamabad, Rawalpindi, Murree, Galliyat, Attock, Chakwal, Jhelum, Mandi Bahauddin, Gujrat, Gujranwala, Hafizabad, Wazirabad, Lahore, Kasur, Sheikhupura, Sialkot, Narowal, Mianwali, Khushab, Noorpurthal, Bhakkar, Layyah, Sargodha, Sahiwal, Jhang, Toba Tek Singh, Nankana Sahib, Chiniot, Faisalabad, Pakpattan, Bahawalnagar, Vehari, Khanewal, Multan, Lodhran, Bahawalpur, Rahimyar Khan, Rajanpur, Kot Addu and Dera Ghazi Khan from 04th to 06th October. Hailstorm is also expected during the period.
Widespread rain-windstorm/thunderstorm with scattered heavyfalls/hailstorm is expected in Dir, Chitral, Swat, Kohistan, Shangla, Battagram, Mansehra, Abbottabad, Haripur, Buner, Malakand, Bajaur, Mohmand, Kohat, Peshawar, Charsadda, Nowshera, Mardan, Swabi, Khyber, Orakzai, Kurram, Hangu, Karak, Bannu, Lakki Marwat, Waziristan, Tank and Dera Ismail Khan from 02nd to 07th October.
Rain-windstorm/thunderstorm is expected at isolated places in Kashmir (Neelum valley, Muzaffarabad, Rawalakot, Poonch, Hattian, Bagh, Haveli, Sudhanoti, Kotli, Bhimber, Mirpur) and Gilgit-Baltistan (Diamir, Astore, Ghizer, Skardu, Hunza, Gilgit, Ghanche, Shigar) on 02nd and 03rd October. Widespread rain-windstorm/thunderstorm with isolated heavyfalls/hailstorm is expected in Kashmir (Neelum valley, Muzaffarabad, Rawalakot, Poonch, Hattian, Bagh, Haveli, Sudhanoti, Kotli, Bhimber, Mirpur) and Gilgit-Baltistan (Diamir, Astore, Ghizer, Skardu, Hunza, Gilgit, Ghanche, Shigar) from 04th to 07th October.
Rain-windstorm/thunderstorm with isolated heavyfalls is expected in Tharparker (Mithi, Islamkot, Nagarparkar, Chachro, Dhali, Diplo, Kaloi), Umer Kot, Mirpurkhas, Sanghar, Khairpur, Matiari, Tando Allayar, Tando Muhammad Khan, Hyderabad, Jamshoro, Karachi, Thatta, Badin and Sajawal from tonight to 03rd October.
Rain-windstorm/thunderstorm is expected at isolated places in Zhob, Sherani, Loralai, Kohlu, Barkhan, Dera Bugti, Musakhel, Qila Saifullah, Quetta, Ziarat, Sibbi and Naseerabad from 04th (Night) to 06th October.
All concerned authorities are advised to remain “Vigilant” and take necessary measures to avoid any untoward Situation during the forecast period. Tropical Warning Center of PMD is continuously monitoring the system.
For daily weather updates please visit: www.pmd.gov.pk, Pak Weather Application, Social Media platforms & CAP (Alert).
Spokesperson
According to Met. office a well-marked low pressure weather system lies over Gujrat (India). This weather system is likely to move west north westward. Moist currents from northeastern Arabian Sea are penetrating southeastern parts of Sindh. A fresh westerly wave is likely to approach upper parts of the country on 3rd October. Under the influence of these meteorological conditions.
Rain-wind/thunderstorm is expected in Tharparker (Mithi, Islamkot, Nagarparkar, Chachro, Dhali, Diplo, Kaloi), Umer Kot, Mirpurkhas, Sanghar, Khairpur, Matiari, Tando Allayar, Tando Muhammad Khan, Hyderabad, Jamshoro, Karachi, Thatta, Badin and Sajawal from 29th September (night) to 02nd October with occasional gaps. Isolated moderate to heavyfalls are also likely in Tharparker, Umer Kot and Mirpur Khas during the forecast period.
All concerned authorities are advised to take necessary measures to avoid any untoward Situation during the forecast period. Tropical warning center of PMD is continuously monitoring the system.
For daily weather updates please visit: www.pmd.gov.pk, Pak Weather Application, Social Media platforms & CAP (Alert).
Spokesperson
According to Met. office moist currents of moderate intensity from Arabian Sea are penetrating in upper parts of the country. A westerly wave is likely to approach upper parts from 15th (evening/night) and may persist till 19th September. Under the influence of these meteorological conditions:
Rain-wind/thunderstorm is expected in Dir, Chitral, Swat, Kohistan, Shangla, Battagram, Mansehra, Abbottabad, Haripur, Buner, Malakand, Bajaur, Mohmand, Kohat, Peshawar, Charsadda, Nowshera, Mardan, Swabi, Khyber, Orakzai, Kurram, Hangu, Karak and Waziristan from 16th to 19th September with occasional gaps.
Scattered rain-wind/thundershower is expected in Kashmir (Neelum valley, Muzaffarabad, Rawalakot, Poonch, Hattian, Bagh, Haveli, Sudhanoti, Kotli, Bhimber, Mirpur) from 15th (evening/night) to 19th September with occasional gaps. Isolated heavyfall is expected on 16th & 18th September. While isolated rain-wind/thunderstorm is expected in Gilgit-Baltistan (Diamir, Astore, Ghizer, Skardu, Hunza, Gilgit, Ghanche, Shigar) from 16th to 19th September.
Rain-wind/thundershower is expected in Islamabad, Rawalpindi, Murree, Galliyat, Attock, Chakwal and Jhelum from 16th to 19th September with occasional gaps, while in Mandi Bahauddin, Gujrat, Gujranwala, Hafizabad, Wazirabad, Lahore, Kasur, Sheikhupura, Sialkot, Narowal Mianwali, Khushab, Sargodha, Sahiwal, Jhang, Toba Tek Singh and Faisalabad on 18th & 19th September. Isolated heavy fall is also expected during the period.
Mainly dry weather is expected in most parts of the province, while partly cloudy in coastal areas.
Mainly dry weather is expected in most parts of the province.
Note: All concerned authorities are advised to remain “Vigilant” and take necessary measures to avoid any untoward situation during the forecast period.
For daily weather updates please visit: www.pmd.gov.pk, Pak Weather Application, Social Media platforms & CAP (Alert).
Spokesperson
According to Met. office a low-pressure system is currently located over Madhya Pradesh (India) and likely to move west northwest wards and likely to reach Rajasthan and adjoining parts of Sindh on 06th September. Due to this weather system strong Monsoon currents are likely to penetrate in Sindh and eastern parts of Punjab from 06th onwards. Under the influence of these meteorological conditions.
Widespread rain-wind/thundershower (with scattered heavy to very heavy falls) are expected in Tharparker (Mithi, Islamkot, Nagarparkar, Chachro, Dhali, Diplo, Kaloi), Umer Kot, Mirpurkhas, Sanghar, Khairpur, Shaheed Benazirabad, Matiari, Tando Allayar, Tando Muhammad Khan, Hyderabad, Karachi, Thatta, Badin Sajawal, Jamshoro, Dadu, Kashmore, Sukkur, Larkana, Jacobabad, Shikarpur and Ghotki from 06th (evening/night) to 09th September with occasional gaps.
Rain-wind/thundershower (with isolated heavy falls) is expected in Lahore, Kasur, Sheikhupura, Sialkot, Narowal, Okara, Sahiwal, Pakpattan, Bahawalnagar, Vehari, Khanewal, Multan, Lodhran, Bahawalpur, Rahimyar Khan, Rajanpur, Kot Addu and Dera Ghazi Khan from 06th (evening/night) to 08th September. While, at isolated places in Islamabad/Rawalpindi, Murree, Galliyat, Attock, Chakwal, Jhelum, Mandi Bahauddin, Gujrat, Gujranwala, Hafizabad and Wazirabad during the forecast period.
Rain-wind/thundershower (with isolated heavy falls) is expected in Barkhan, Musakhel, Loralai, Sibbi, Zhob, Naseerabad, Bolan, Dera Bugti, Kohlu, Kalat, Khuzdar, Lasbella, Awaran, Pasni, Ormara and Gawadar from 07th to 09th September. with occasional gaps
Rain-wind/thundershower (with Isolated heavy falls) is expected in Kashmir (Neelum valley, Muzaffarabad, Rawalakot, Poonch, Hattian, Bagh, Haveli, Sudhanoti, Kotli, Bhimber, Mirpur) from 06th (evening) to 08th September. with occasional gaps.
Rain-wind/thundershower is expected in Dir, Swat, Kohistan, Mansehra, Abbottabad, Buner, Malakand, Bajaur, Mohmand, Swabi, Peshawar, Mardan, Kohat and Kurrum from 07th to 09th September.
Note: All concerned authorities are advised to remain “HIGH ALERT” and take necessary measures to avoid any untoward situation during the forecast period.
For daily weather updates please visit: PMD Website, Pak Weather App, Social Media platform & CAP (Alert).
Spokesperson
According to Met. office strong monsoon currents from Arabian Sea & Bay of Bengal are likely to penetrate upper parts of the country from 29th August. A westerly wave is also likely to approach upper and central parts from 30th August. Under the influence of these meteorological conditions:
Widespread rain-wind/thundershower (with scattered heavy falls at times very heavy) is expected in Kashmir (Neelum valley, Muzaffarabad, Rawalakot, Poonch, Hattian, Bagh, Haveli, Sudhanoti, Kotli, Bhimber, Mirpur) from 29th August to 02nd September and rain-wind/thundershower (with isolated heavy falls) in Gilgit-Baltistan (Diamir, Astore, Ghizer, Skardu, Hunza, Gilgit, Ghanche, Shigar) from 30th August to 01st September with occasional gaps.
Rain-wind/thundershower (with isolated heavy falls at times very heavy) is expected in Dir, Chitral, Swat, Kohistan, Shangla, Battagram, Mansehra, Abbottabad, Haripur, Buner, Malakand, Bajaur, Mohmand, Kohat, Peshawar, Charsadda, Nowshera, Mardan, Swabi, Khyber, Orakzai, Kurram, Hangu, Karak, Bannu, Lakki Marwat, Waziristan, Tank and Dera Ismail Khan from 29th August to 01st September.
Widespread rain-wind/thundershower (with scattered heavy falls at times very heavy) is expected in Islamabad/Rawalpindi, Murree, Galliyat, Attock, Chakwal, Jhelum, Mandi Bahauddin, Gujrat, Gujranwala, Hafizabad, Wazirabad, Lahore, Kasur, Sheikhupura, Sialkot, Narowal, Mianwali, Khushab, Sargodha, Jhang, Toba Tek Singh, Nankana Sahib, Chiniot, Faisalabad and Sahiwal from 29th August to 02nd September with occasional gaps. Rain-wind/thundershower (with isolated heavy falls) is also likely in D.G. Khan, Bhakkar, Layyah, Multan, Bahawalpur, Bahawalnagar, Rajanpur and Rahimyar Khan from 29th (night) August to 02nd September.
Rain-wind/thundershower is expected in Mithi, Tharparkar, Sukkur, Larkana, Jacobabad, Dadu and Umer Kot on 30th and 31st August with occasional gaps.
Rain-wind/thundershower (with isolated heavy falls) is expected in Barkhan, Musakhel, Loralai, Sibbi, Zhob, Kalat & Khuzdar from 30th August to 01st September with occasional gaps.
Note: All concerned authorities are advised to remain “HIGH ALERT” and take necessary measures to avoid any untoward situation during the forecast period.
For daily weather updates please visit: PMD Website, Pak Weather App, Social Media platform & CAP (Alert).
Spokesperson
According to the Met. Office, strong monsoon currents from the Arabian Sea & Bay of Bengal are likely to penetrate upper parts of the country from 22nd August. A westerly wave is likely to approach upper parts on 22nd (night). Under the influence of these meteorological conditions:
Widespread rain-wind/thundershower (with scattered heavy falls at times very heavy) is expected in Kashmir (Neelum valley, Muzaffarabad, Rawalakot, Poonch, Hattian, Bagh, Haveli, Sudhanoti, Kotli, Bhimber, Mirpur) and rain-wind/thundershower (with isolated heavy falls) in Gilgit-Baltistan (Diamir, Astore, Ghizer, Skardu, Hunza, Gilgit, Ghanche, Shigar) from 23rd to 27th August with occasional gaps.
Widespread rain-wind/thundershower (with scattered heavy falls at times very heavy) is expected in Dir, Chitral, Swat, Kohistan, Shangla, Battagram, Mansehra, Abbottabad, Haripur, Buner, Malakand, Bajaur, Mohmand, Kohat, Peshawar, Charsadda, Nowshera, Mardan, Swabi, Khyber, Orakzai, Kurram, Hangu, Karak, Bannu, Lakki Marwat, Waziristan, Tank and Dera Ismail Khan from 23rd to 26th August.
Widespread rain-wind/thundershower (with scattered heavy falls at times very heavy) is expected in Islamabad/Rawalpindi, Murree, Galliyat, Attock, Chakwal, Jhelum, Mandi Bahauddin, Gujrat, Gujranwala, Hafizabad, Wazirabad, Lahore, Kasur, Sheikhupura, Sialkot, Narowal, Mianwali, Khushab, Sargodha, Jhang, Toba Tek Singh, Nankana Sahib, Chiniot, Faisalabad and Sahiwal from 23rd to 27th August with occasional gaps. Scattered rain-wind/thundershower (with isolated heavy falls) is also likely in D.G. Khan, Bhakkar, Layyah, Multan, Bahawalpur, Bahawalnagar, Rajanpur and Rahimyar Khan on 24th & 27th August.
Rain-wind/thundershower is expected in Mithi, Tharparkar, Umer Kot and Mirpurkhas from 23rd (evening/night) to 26th August with occasional gaps.
Rain-wind/thundershower is expected in Barkhan, Musakhel, Loralai, Sibbi, Zhob, Kalat & Khuzdar from 23rd (evening/night) to 26th August.
All concerned authorities are advised to remain “HIGH ALERT” and take necessary measures to avoid any untoward situation during the forecast period.
Spokesperson
According to Met Office, strong monsoon currents from Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal are continuously penetrating the country, especially the southern parts. Under the influence of these meteorological conditions:
Widespread rain-wind/thundershower (with scattered heavyfalls at times very heavy) is expected in Mithi, Tharparker, Umer Kot, Mirpurkhas, Hyderabad, Shaheed Benazirabad, Karachi, Thatta, Badin, Sajawal, Tando Allayar, Tando Muhammad Khan, Sanghar, Jamshoro, while at scattered places in Sukkur, Larkana, Khairpur and Jacobabad from 19th to 22nd August with occasional gaps.
Rain-wind/thundershower (with scattered heavyfalls) is expected in Barkhan, Musakhel, Loralai, Sibbi, Zhob, Qilla Saifullah, Khuzdar, Lasbella, Awaran, Kech, Gawadar and Panjgur from 19th to 22nd August with occasional gaps.
Subdued rain-wind/thundershower is expected at isolated places in Islamabad, Kashmir, Gilgit-Baltistan, upper Punjab (Rawalpindi, Attock, Murree/Galliyat, Chakwal, Jhelum, Gujrat, Gujranwala, Sialkot, Lahore, Dera Ghazi Khan, Multan and Rajanpur), and Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa (Dir, Chitral, Swat, Kohistan, Shangla, Battagram, Mansehra, Abbottabad, Haripur, Buner, Malakand, Bajaur, Mohmand, Peshawar, Charsadda, Nowshera, Mardan, Swabi) from 19th to 22nd August.
All concerned authorities are advised to remain "ALERT" and take necessary measures to avoid any untoward situation.
Spokesperson
According to Met. office strong monsoon currents from the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal are continuously penetrating in the country. Low Pressure System (LPA) over the Bay of Bengal is likely to move westward from 17th August and intensify this monsoon activity. A westerly wave is also present over the country under the influence of these meteorological conditions.
Widespread rain-wind/thundershower (with scattered heavy falls at times very heavy) is expected in Kashmir (Neelum valley, Muzaffarabad, Rawalakot, Poonch, Hattian, Bagh, Haveli, Sudhanoti, Kotli, Bhimber, Mirpur) and Gilgit-Baltistan (Diamir, Astore, Ghizer, Skardu, Hunza, Gilgit, Ghanche, Shigar) from 17th to 19th August with occasional gaps.
Widespread rain-wind/thundershower (with scattered heavy falls at times very heavy) is expected in Dir, Chitral, Swat, Kohistan, Shangla, Battagram, Mansehra, Abbottabad, Haripur, Buner, Malakand, Bajaur, Mohmand, Kohat, Peshawar, Charsadda, Nowshera, Mardan, Swabi, Khyber, Orakzai, Kurram, Hangu, Karak, Bannu, Lakki Marwat, Waziristan, Tank and Dera Ismail Khan from 17th to 19th August.
Widespread rain-wind/thundershower (with scattered heavy falls at times very heavy) is expected in Islamabad/Rawalpindi, Murree, Galliyat, Attock, Chakwal, Jhelum, Mandi Bahauddin, Gujrat, Gujranwala, Hafizabad, Wazirabad, Lahore, Kasur, Sheikhupura, Sialkot, Narowal Mianwali, Khushab, Sargodha, Jhang, Toba Tek Singh, Nankana Sahib, Chiniot, Faisalabad and Sahiwal from 17th to 19th August. with occasional gaps. Scattered rain-wind/thundershower (with isolated heavyfalls) is also likely in D.G. Khan, Bhakkar, Layyah, Multan, Bahawalpur, Bahawalnagar, Rajanpur and Rahimyar Khan from 18th to 20th August.
Rain-wind/thundershower (with scattered heavy falls at times very heavy) is expected in Mithi, Tharparker, Umer Kot, Mirpurkhas, Hyderabad, Shaheed Benazirabad, Karachi, Thatta, Badin, Sajawal, Tando Allayar, Tando Muhammad Khan, Sanghar, Jamshoro, Sukkur, Larkana, Khairpur and Jacobabad from 17th to 22nd August with occasional gaps.
Rain-wind/thundershower (with isolated heavy falls) is expected in Barkhan, Musakhel, Loralai, Sibbi, Zhob, Qilla Saifullah, Khuzdar, Lasbella, Awaran, Kech, Gawadar and Panjgur from 17th to 21st August.
All concerned authorities are advised to remain "ALERT" and take necessary measures to avoid any untoward situation.
For latest weather updates please visit: https://www.pmd.gov.pk | PMD Mobile Application | CAP (Alert)
Spokesperson
According to the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD), monsoon currents from the Arabian Sea are continuously penetrating the upper parts of the country. Moist currents from the Bay of Bengal are likely to intensify from 17th August. A westerly wave is currently affecting the upper parts and is likely to strengthen from 17th August. Under the influence of these meteorological conditions, rain-wind/thundershower (with scattered heavy falls) is expected in Islamabad, Kashmir, upper Punjab, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Gilgit-Baltistan from 14th to 17th August.
Kashmir/ Gilgit-Baltistan:
Widespread rain-wind/thundershower (with scattered heavy falls) is expected in Kashmir (Neelum valley, Muzaffarabad, Rawalakot, Poonch, Hattian, Bagh, Haveli, Sudhanoti, Kotli, Bhimber, Mirpur) from 18th to 21st August, while rain-wind/thunderstorm (with isolated heavy falls) is expected in Gilgit-Baltistan (Diamir, Astore, Ghizer, Skardu, Hunza, Gilgit, Ghanche, Shigar) from 18th to 21st August with occasional gaps.
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa:
Widespread rain-wind/thundershower (with scattered heavy falls at times very heavy) is expected in Dir, Chitral, Swat, Kohistan, Shangla, Battagram, Mansehra, Abbottabad, Haripur, Buner, Malakand, Bajaur, Mohmand, Kohat, Peshawar, Charsadda, Nowshera, Mardan, Swabi, Khyber, Orakzai, Kurram, Hangu and Karak from 18th to 21st August. Scattered rain-wind/thundershower (with isolated heavy falls) is also likely in Bannu, Lakki Marwat, Waziristan, Tank and Dera Ismail Khan from 18th to 21st August with occasional gaps.
Punjab / Islamabad:
Widespread rain-wind/thundershower (with scattered heavy falls at times very heavy) is expected in Islamabad/Rawalpindi, Murree, Galliyat, Attock, Chakwal, Jhelum, Mandi Bahauddin, Gujrat, Gujranwala, Hafizabad, Wazirabad, Lahore, Kasur, Sheikhupura, Sialkot, Narowal, Mianwali, Khushab, Sargodha, Jhang, Toba Tek Singh, Nankana Sahib, Chiniot, Faisalabad and Sahiwal from 18th to 21st August with occasional gaps. Scattered rain-wind/thundershower (with isolated heavy falls) is also likely in D.G. Khan, Bhakkar, Layyah, Multan, Bahawalpur, Bahawalnagar, Rajanpur and Rahimyar Khan from 18th to 21st August.
Balochistan:
Rain-wind/thundershower (with isolated heavy falls) is expected in Barkhan, Musakhel, Loralai, Sibbi, Zhob, Qilla Saifullah, Khuzdar, Lasbella, Awaran, Kech, Gawadar and Panjgur from 18th to 22nd August.
Sindh:
Rain-wind/thundershower (with isolated heavy falls) is expected in Tharparker, Umer Kot, Mirpurkhas, Hyderabad, Shaheed Benazirabad, Karachi, Thatta, Badin, Sajawal, Tando Allayar, Tando Muhammad Khan, Sanghar, Jamshoro, Sukkur, Larkana, Khairpur and Jacobabad from 18th to 22nd August with occasional gaps.
Possible Impacts and Advises:
Note: All concerned authorities are advised to remain “ALERT” and take necessary measures to avoid any untoward situation.
For daily weather updates please visit: www.pmd.gov.pk | PMD Mobile Application | CAP (Alert)
Spokesperson