Date: March 08, 2019
Time: 1430PST

Weather outlook for Pakistan: March 2019

Equatorial sea surface temperatures are above average across most of the Pacific Ocean and shows decreasing trend in coming months. North Atlantic oscillation is also in positive phase whereas Indian ocean Dipole in neutral phase. Based on regional and global forcing factors following would be the main features of the weather during the month:

  • Near normal rainfall is expected over the country with slightly above normal over northern half of the country.

  • Possibility of hailstorm/thunderstorm cannot be ruled out with weather system.

  • Surface temperature will gradually increase during March and are expected to remain 1-2 degree above normal over plain areas of the country. However normal temperatures are expected over mountainous region of the country.

Note: The outlook is based upon recent climate data. The outlook will be updated on monthly basis during the first week of each month.

Spokesperson


Date: February 6, 2019
Time: 0900PST

Weather Outlook for Pakistan: February 2019

The global circulations indicate the effectiveness of westerly disturbances will remain as per normal frequency in the South Asian region including Pakistan, during the month. The weather outlook produced, based on the global Climate Models for February 2019 indicates that Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) will persist along its neutral position. While, El Nino, will remain in positive phase. North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) will be swinging along the neutral value during February 2019. Based upon the regional and global forcing factors, following would be the main features of weather during the month;

  • Above normal rainfall is expected throughout the country. However the mountainous areas of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, AJ&K and Gilgit Baltistan (GB) may receive above normal snowfall during the period.

  • Day and night time temperatures will gradually increase in February. The average nights Temperatures over the country are likely to be slightly above normal during the month.

Note: The outlook is based upon recent climate data. The outlook will be updated on monthly basis during the first week of each month.

Spokesperson


Date: January 4, 2019
Time: 1500PST

Weather Outlook for Pakistan: January 2019

The global climate forcing indicate that El-Nino (ENSO) conditions are likely to strengthen during the month of January-2018. The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) will persist in its neutral phase. Based on the statistical downscaling of Global Climate Models, the weather outlook produced for the month of January 2019 is as follows;

  • Overall normal rainfall is likely to occur in the country, whereas northern parts of the country, including upper KP, Gilgit Baltistan and Azad Jammu & Kashmir may get slightly above normal rainfall / snowfall.

  • Southern Punjab, Sindh and Balochistan is expected to receive slightly below normal rainfall.

  • Due to least temperature, foggy weather condition are expected in the plains of central and lower Punjab, Peshawar & Hazara Division of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.

Note: The outlook is based upon recent climate data. The outlook will be updated on monthly basis during the first week of each month.

Spokesperson


Date: January 4, 2019
Time: 1500PST

Weather Outlook for Pakistan: January to March 2019

The prevailing global climate and weather conditions indicate that North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is in neutral phase, whereas El-Nino (ENSO) conditions are likely to strengthen during the period January to March, 2019. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is expected to remain neutral. The weather outlook based on statistical downscaling of Global Climate Models for the months of January to March 2019 is expected as follows;

  • The country as a whole is expected to receive near normal rainfall during the period.

  • Slightly above normal precipitation is expected in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Northern Punjab, Gilgit Baltistan and Azad Jammu & Kashmir. The mountainous areas of upper KP, GB and AJ&K is likely to receive snowfall during the period.

  • Normal rainfall is likely to occur in southern Punjab, Balochistan and Sindh.

  • The average temperatures are expected to remain near normal in most parts of the country.

Note: The outlook is based upon recent climate data. The outlook will be updated on monthly basis during the first week of each month.

Spokesperson